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Efficacy of intelligent diagnosis with a dynamic uncertain causality graph model for rare disorders of

Dongping Ning, Zhan Zhang, Kun Qiu, Lin Lu, Qin Zhang, Yan Zhu, Renzhi Wang

《医学前沿（英文）》 2020年 第14卷 第4期   页码 498-505 doi: 10.1007/s11684-020-0791-8

摘要： Disorders of sex development (DSD) are a group of rare complex clinical syndromes with multiple etiologies. Distinguishing the various causes of DSD is quite difficult in clinical practice, even for senior general physicians because of the similar and atypical clinical manifestations of these conditions. In addition, DSD are difficult to diagnose because most primary doctors receive insufficient training for DSD. Delayed diagnoses and misdiagnoses are common for patients with DSD and lead to poor treatment and prognoses. On the basis of the principles and algorithms of dynamic uncertain causality graph (DUCG), a diagnosis model for DSD was jointly constructed by experts on DSD and engineers of artificial intelligence. “Chaining” inference algorithm and weighted logic operation mechanism were applied to guarantee the accuracy and efficiency of diagnostic reasoning under incomplete situations and uncertain information. Verification was performed using 153 selected clinical cases involving nine common DSD-related diseases and three causes other than DSD as the differential diagnosis. The model had an accuracy of 94.1%, which was significantly higher than that of interns and third-year residents. In conclusion, the DUCG model has broad application prospects as a computer-aided diagnostic tool for DSD-related diseases.

关键词： disorders of sex development (DSD)     intelligent diagnosis     dynamic uncertain causality graph    

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Development of an artificial intelligence diagnostic model based on dynamic uncertain causality graph

Yang Jiao, Zhan Zhang, Ting Zhang, Wen Shi, Yan Zhu, Jie Hu, Qin Zhang

《医学前沿（英文）》 2020年 第14卷 第4期   页码 488-497 doi: 10.1007/s11684-020-0762-0

摘要： Dyspnea is one of the most common manifestations of patients with pulmonary disease, myocardial dysfunction, and neuromuscular disorder, among other conditions. Identifying the causes of dyspnea in clinical practice, especially for the general practitioner, remains a challenge. This pilot study aimed to develop a computer-aided tool for improving the efficiency of differential diagnosis. The disease set with dyspnea as the chief complaint was established on the basis of clinical experience and epidemiological data. Differential diagnosis approaches were established and optimized by clinical experts. The artificial intelligence (AI) diagnosis model was constructed according to the dynamic uncertain causality graph knowledge-based editor. Twenty-eight diseases and syndromes were included in the disease set. The model contained 132 variables of symptoms, signs, and serological and imaging parameters. Medical records from the electronic hospital records of Suining Central Hospital were randomly selected. A total of 202 discharged patients with dyspnea as the chief complaint were included for verification, in which the diagnoses of 195 cases were coincident with the record certified as correct. The overall diagnostic accuracy rate of the model was 96.5%. In conclusion, the diagnostic accuracy of the AI model is promising and may compensate for the limitation of medical experience.

关键词： knowledge representation     uncertain     causality     graphical model     artificial intelligence     diagnosis     dyspnea    

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Novel slack-based robust scheduling rule for a semiconductor manufacturing system with uncertain processing

Juan LIU, Fei QIAO, Yumin MA, Weichang KONG

《工程管理前沿（英文）》 2018年 第5卷 第4期   页码 507-514 doi: 10.15302/J-FEM-2018045

摘要：

The NP-hard scheduling problems of semiconductor manufacturing systems (SMSs) are further complicated by stochastic uncertainties. Reactive scheduling is a common dynamic scheduling approach where the scheduling scheme is refreshed in response to real-time uncertainties. The scheduling scheme is overly sensitive to the emergence of uncertainties because the optimization of performance (such as minimum make-span) and the system robustness cannot be achieved simultaneously by conventional reactive scheduling methods. To improve the robustness of the scheduling scheme, we propose a novel slack-based robust scheduling rule (SR) based on the analysis of robustness measurement for SMS with uncertain processing time. The decision in the SR is made in real time given the robustness. The proposed SR is verified under different scenarios, and the results are compared with the existing heuristic rules. Simulation results show that the proposed SR can effectively improve the robustness of the scheduling scheme with a slight performance loss.

关键词： semiconductor manufacturing system     uncertain processing time     dynamic scheduling     slack-based robust scheduling rule    

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Classifying multiclass relationships between ASes using graph convolutional network

《工程管理前沿（英文）》   页码 653-667 doi: 10.1007/s42524-022-0217-1

摘要： Precisely understanding the business relationships between autonomous systems (ASes) is essential for studying the Internet structure. To date, many inference algorithms, which mainly focus on peer-to-peer (P2P) and provider-to-customer (P2C) binary classification, have been proposed to classify the AS relationships and have achieved excellent results. However, business-based sibling relationships and structure-based exchange relationships have become an increasingly nonnegligible part of the Internet market in recent years. Existing algorithms are often difficult to infer due to the high similarity of these relationships to P2P or P2C relationships. In this study, we focus on multiclassification of AS relationship for the first time. We first summarize the differences between AS relationships under the structural and attribute features, and the reasons why multiclass relationships are difficult to be inferred. We then introduce new features and propose a graph convolutional network (GCN) framework, AS-GCN, to solve this multiclassification problem under complex scenes. The proposed framework considers the global network structure and local link features concurrently. Experiments on real Internet topological data validate the effectiveness of our method, that is, AS-GCN. The proposed method achieves comparable results on the binary classification task and outperforms a series of baselines on the more difficult multiclassification task, with an overall metrics above 95%.

关键词： autonomous system     multiclass relationship     graph convolutional network     classification algorithm     Internet topology    

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A novel approach for remanufacturing process planning considering uncertain and fuzzy information

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2021年 第16卷 第3期   页码 546-558 doi: 10.1007/s11465-021-0639-1

摘要： Remanufacturing, as one of the optimal disposals of end-of-life products, can bring tremendous economic and ecological benefits. Remanufacturing process planning is facing an immense challenge due to uncertainties and fuzziness of recoverable products in damage conditions and remanufacturing quality requirements. Although researchers have studied the influence of uncertainties on remanufacturing process planning, very few of them comprehensively studied the interactions among damage conditions and quality requirements that involve uncertain, fuzzy information. Hence, this challenge in the context of uncertain, fuzzy information is undertaken in this paper, and a method for remanufacturing process planning is presented to maximize remanufacturing efficiency and minimize cost. In particular, the characteristics of uncertainties and fuzziness involved in the remanufacturing processes are explicitly analyzed. An optimization model is then developed to minimize remanufacturing time and cost. The solution is provided through an improved Takagi–Sugeno fuzzy neural network (T-S FNN) method. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is exemplified and elucidated by a case study. Results show that the training speed and accuracy of the improved T-S FNN method are 23.5% and 82.5% higher on average than those of the original method, respectively.

关键词： remanufacturing     uncertain and fuzzy information     process planning     T-S FNN    

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An uncertain energy planning model under carbon taxes

Hongkuan ZANG, Yi XU, Wei LI, Guohe HUANG, Dan LIU

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2012年 第6卷 第4期   页码 549-558 doi: 10.1007/s11783-012-0414-y

摘要： In this study, an interval fuzzy mixed-integer energy planning model (IFMI-EPM) is developed under considering the carbon tax policy. The developed IFMI-EPM incorporates techniques of interval-parameter programming, fuzzy planning and mixed-integer programming within a general energy planning model. The IFMI-EPM can not only be used for quantitatively analyzing a variety of policy scenarios that are associated with different levels of carbon tax policy, but also tackle uncertainties expressed as discrete intervals and fuzzy sets in energy and environment systems. Considering low, medium and high carbon tax rates, the model is applied to an ideal energy and environment system. The results indicate that reasonable solutions have been generated. They can be used for generating decision alternatives and thus help decision makers identify desired carbon tax policy.

关键词： energy     carbon tax     planning     uncertainty     fuzzy    

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Causality relationship between the photovoltaic market and its manufacturing in China, Germany, the US

Molin HUO, Xiliang ZHANG, Jiankun HE

《能源前沿（英文）》 2011年 第5卷 第1期   页码 43-48 doi: 10.1007/s11708-010-0135-5

摘要： This paper aims to investigate the Granger causality relationships between the photovoltaic (PV) market scale and PV manufacturing development in China, Germany, the US, and Japan, and consequently provide recommendations for strategic investment and industrial policy making. The empirical results show that the growth of the market scale caused the increase in innovation scale in the four countries except China. Moreover, there were bidirectional causalities between them in Germany and in the US, respectively, suggesting that the strategic perspective and the formation of a virtuous circle could make PV industry policies cost effective. Only in China did the growth of the market scale cause the increase in production scale, implying significant market risk for the manufacturing sector. The empirical result shows that the manufacturing sector can affect the dynamics of the market scale.

关键词： photovoltaic     innovation     demand pull     scale economies     granger causality    

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网络空间内生安全 Article

邬江兴

《工程（英文）》 2022年 第15卷 第8期   页码 179-185 doi: 10.1016/j.eng.2021.05.015

摘要：

基于未知漏洞后门等产生的不确定威胁是当前网络空间最为严峻和棘手的安全问题。本文分析了系统漏洞后门等“暗功能”存在的哲学与技术层面的原因，并作为系统“内生安全问题”存在的必然性依据，指出“内生安全问题”在理论和工程层面不可能完全彻底地消除，需要“开发或利用”系统架构自身的“内源性安全功能”，使目标对象能够通过“内生的安全体制机制”来有效规避或化解内生安全问题可能引发的安全风险。文中给出了网络空间内生安全的定义和期望的体制机制及其主要技术特征，介绍了基于动态异构冗余架构的内生安全体制机制及其内生安全特性，阐述了创新的基于DHR架构的编码信道理论内涵。

关键词： 网络空间内生安全问题     不确定威胁     网络空间内生安全     相对正确公理     动态异构冗余架构    

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Causality between energy consumption and GDP in the U.S.: evidence from wavelet analysis

Alper ASLAN, Nicholas APERGIS, Selim YILDIRIM

《能源前沿（英文）》 2014年 第8卷 第1期   页码 1-8 doi: 10.1007/s11708-013-0290-6

摘要： This study investigates the dynamic causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the U.S. at different time scales. The main novelty of the study is that this paper complements the existing studies on the nexus between energy consumption and economic growth by employing the wavelet transformation to obtain different time scales in order to investigate causality between energy consumption and economic growth. This method is first developed by Ramsey and Lampart. Their approach consists of first decomposing the series into time scales by wavelet filters and testing causality of each time scale with the pertinent time scale of the other series separately. The data span from 1973q1 to 2012q1 on a quarterly basis. The main empirical insight is that the causal relationship is stronger at finer time scales, whereas the relationship is less and less apparent at longer time horizons. The results indicate that energy consumption causes economic growth, while the reverse is not true at the original frequency of the data. At the very finest scale the same result arises. However, at coarser scales feedback is observed. In particular, at intermediate time scales the evidence indicates that energy consumption causes economic growth, while the reverse is also true. These empirical findings are expected to be of high importance in terms of the effective design and implementation of energy and environmental policies, especially when a number of countries in the pursuit of high economic growth targets do not pay any serious attention on environmental issues.

关键词： energy consumption     economic growth     wavelet analysis     granger causality    

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cooperation of connected vehicle systems with eigenvalue-bounded interaction topologies in the presence of uncertain

Keqiang LI, Feng GAO, Shengbo Eben LI, Yang ZHENG, Hongbo GAO

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2018年 第13卷 第3期   页码 354-367 doi: 10.1007/s11465-018-0486-x

摘要：

This study presents a distributed H-infinity control method for uncertain platoons with dimensionally and structurally unknown interaction topologies provided that the associated topological eigenvalues are bounded by a predesigned range. With an inverse model to compensate for nonlinear powertrain dynamics, vehicles in a platoon are modeled by third-order uncertain systems with bounded disturbances. On the basis of the eigenvalue decomposition of topological matrices, we convert the platoon system to a norm-bounded uncertain part and a diagonally structured certain part by applying linear transformation. We then use a common Lyapunov method to design a distributed H-infinity controller. Numerically, two linear matrix inequalities corresponding to the minimum and maximum eigenvalues should be solved. The resulting controller can tolerate interaction topologies with eigenvalues located in a certain range. The proposed method can also ensure robustness performance and disturbance attenuation ability for the closed-loop platoon system. Hardware-in-the-loop tests are performed to validate the effectiveness of our method.

关键词： automated vehicles     platoon     distributed control     robustness    

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The Tong Test: Evaluating Artificial General Intelligence Through Dynamic Embodied Physical and Social

Yujia Peng,Jiaheng Han,Zhenliang Zhang,Lifeng Fan,Tengyu Liu,Siyuan Qi,Xue Feng,Yuxi Ma,Yizhou Wang,Song-Chun Zhu,

《工程（英文）》 doi: 10.1016/j.eng.2023.07.006

摘要： The release of the generative pre-trained transformer (GPT) series has brought artificial general intelligence (AGI) to the forefront of the artificial intelligence (AI) field once again. However, the questions of how to define and evaluate AGI remain unclear. This perspective article proposes that the evaluation of AGI should be rooted in dynamic embodied physical and social interactions (DEPSI). More specifically, we propose five critical characteristics to be considered as AGI benchmarks and suggest the Tong test as an AGI evaluation system. The Tong test describes a value- and ability-oriented testing system that delineates five levels of AGI milestones through a virtual environment with DEPSI, allowing for infinite task generation. We contrast the Tong test with classical AI testing systems in terms of various aspects and propose a systematic evaluation system to promote standardized, quantitative, and objective benchmarks and evaluation of AGI.

关键词： Artificial general intelligence     Artificial intelligence benchmark     Artificial intelligence evaluation     Embodied artificial intelligence     Value alignment     Turing test     Causality    

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Global sensitivity analysis of certain and uncertain factors for a circular tunnel under seismic action

Nazim Abdul NARIMAN, Raja Rizwan HUSSAIN, Ilham Ibrahim MOHAMMAD, Peyman KARAMPOUR

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2019年 第13卷 第6期   页码 1289-1300 doi: 10.1007/s11709-019-0548-0

摘要： There are many certain and uncertain design factors which have unrevealed rational effects on the generation of tensile damage and the stability of the circular tunnels during seismic actions. In this research paper, we have dedicated three certain and four uncertain design factors to quantify their rational effects using numerical simulations and the Sobol’s sensitivity indices. Main effects and interaction effects between the design factors have been determined supporting on variance-based global sensitivity analysis. The results detected that the concrete modulus of elasticity for the tunnel lining has the greatest effect on the tensile damage generation in the tunnel lining during the seismic action. In the other direction, the interactions between the concrete density and both of concrete modulus of elasticity and tunnel diameter have appreciable effects on the tensile damage. Furthermore, the tunnel diameter has the deciding effect on the stability of the tunnel structure. While the interaction between the tunnel diameter and concrete density has appreciable effect on the stability process. It is worthy to mention that Sobol’s sensitivity indices manifested strong efficiency in detecting the roles of each design factor in cooperation with the numerical simulations explaining the responses of the circular tunnel during seismic actions.

关键词： shear waves     Sobol’s sensitivity indices     maximum principal stress     maximum overall displacement     tensile damage    

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大规模图计算系统综述 Review

Ning LIU, Dong-sheng LI, Yi-ming ZHANG, Xiong-lve LI

《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2020年 第21卷 第3期   页码 384-404 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.1900127

摘要： 图是描述实体之间关系的一种重要数据结构。现实世界中许多应用领域非常依赖图数据。然而，由于图计算应用与传统应用的显著差异，利用通用平台处理图计算应用是低效的，这极大推动了专用图计算系统的研究。本综述系统地对图算法和图计算应用进行分类，将现有图计算系统划分为通用和专用系统，并详细总结。深入分析图计算系统的实现技术，包括编程模型、分区策略、通信模型、执行模型和容错机制。最后，分析图计算领域最新进展，并提出有待进一步研究的4个问题。

关键词： 图算法；图计算应用；图计算系统    

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Integrated uncertain models for runoff forecasting and crop planting structure optimization of the Shiyang

Fan ZHANG, Mo LI, Shanshan GUO, Chenglong ZHANG, Ping GUO

《农业科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2018年 第5卷 第2期   页码 177-187 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2017177

摘要： To improve the accuracy of runoff forecasting, an uncertain multiple linear regression (UMLR) model is presented in this study. The proposed model avoids the transfer of random error generated in the independent variable to the dependent variable, as this affects prediction accuracy. On this basis, an inexact two-stage stochastic programming (ITSP) model is used for crop planting structure optimization (CPSO) with the inputs that are interval flow values under different probabilities obtained from the UMLR model. The developed system, in which the UMLR model for runoff forecasting and the ITSP model for crop planting structure optimization are integrated, is applied to a real case study. The aim of the developed system is to optimize crops planting area with limited available water resources base on the downstream runoff forecasting in order to obtain the maximum system benefit in the future. The solution obtained can demonstrate the feasibility and suitability of the developed system, and help decision makers to identify reasonable crop planting structure under multiple uncertainties.

关键词： crop planting structure optimization     inexact two-stage stochastic programming     runoff forecasting     Shiyang River Basin     uncertain multiple linear regression    

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Energy-aware scheduling with reconstruction and frequency equalization on heterogeneous systems

Yong-xing LIU,Ken-li LI,Zhuo TANG,Ke-qin LI

《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2015年 第16卷 第7期   页码 519-531 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.1400399

摘要： With the increasing energy consumption of computing systems and the growing advocacy for green computing, energy efficiency has become one of the critical challenges in high-performance heterogeneous computing systems. Energy consumption can be reduced by not only hardware design but also software design. In this paper, we propose an energy-aware scheduling algorithm with equalized frequency, called EASEF, for parallel applications on heterogeneous computing systems. The EASEF approach aims to minimize the finish time and overall energy consumption. First, EASEF extracts the set of paths from an application. Then, it reconstructs the application based on the extracted set of paths to achieve a reasonable schedule. Finally, it adopts a progressive way to equalize the frequency of tasks to reduce the total energy consumption of systems. Randomly generated applications and two real-world applications are examined in our experiments. Experimental results show that the EASEF algorithm outperforms two existing algorithms in terms of makespan and energy consumption.

关键词： Directed acyclic graph     Dynamic voltage scaling     Energy aware     Heterogeneous systems     Task scheduling    

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标题 作者 时间 类型 操作

Efficacy of intelligent diagnosis with a dynamic uncertain causality graph model for rare disorders of

Dongping Ning, Zhan Zhang, Kun Qiu, Lin Lu, Qin Zhang, Yan Zhu, Renzhi Wang

期刊论文

Development of an artificial intelligence diagnostic model based on dynamic uncertain causality graph

Yang Jiao, Zhan Zhang, Ting Zhang, Wen Shi, Yan Zhu, Jie Hu, Qin Zhang

期刊论文

Novel slack-based robust scheduling rule for a semiconductor manufacturing system with uncertain processing

Juan LIU, Fei QIAO, Yumin MA, Weichang KONG

期刊论文

Classifying multiclass relationships between ASes using graph convolutional network

期刊论文

A novel approach for remanufacturing process planning considering uncertain and fuzzy information

期刊论文

An uncertain energy planning model under carbon taxes

Hongkuan ZANG, Yi XU, Wei LI, Guohe HUANG, Dan LIU

期刊论文

Causality relationship between the photovoltaic market and its manufacturing in China, Germany, the US

Molin HUO, Xiliang ZHANG, Jiankun HE

期刊论文

网络空间内生安全

邬江兴

期刊论文

Causality between energy consumption and GDP in the U.S.: evidence from wavelet analysis

Alper ASLAN, Nicholas APERGIS, Selim YILDIRIM

期刊论文

cooperation of connected vehicle systems with eigenvalue-bounded interaction topologies in the presence of uncertain

Keqiang LI, Feng GAO, Shengbo Eben LI, Yang ZHENG, Hongbo GAO

期刊论文

The Tong Test: Evaluating Artificial General Intelligence Through Dynamic Embodied Physical and Social

Yujia Peng,Jiaheng Han,Zhenliang Zhang,Lifeng Fan,Tengyu Liu,Siyuan Qi,Xue Feng,Yuxi Ma,Yizhou Wang,Song-Chun Zhu,

期刊论文

Global sensitivity analysis of certain and uncertain factors for a circular tunnel under seismic action

Nazim Abdul NARIMAN, Raja Rizwan HUSSAIN, Ilham Ibrahim MOHAMMAD, Peyman KARAMPOUR

期刊论文

大规模图计算系统综述

Ning LIU, Dong-sheng LI, Yi-ming ZHANG, Xiong-lve LI

期刊论文

Integrated uncertain models for runoff forecasting and crop planting structure optimization of the Shiyang

Fan ZHANG, Mo LI, Shanshan GUO, Chenglong ZHANG, Ping GUO

期刊论文

Energy-aware scheduling with reconstruction and frequency equalization on heterogeneous systems

Yong-xing LIU,Ken-li LI,Zhuo TANG,Ke-qin LI

期刊论文